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PostPosted: Thu May 14, 2009 9:31 pm 
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beastjim wrote:
nobleoz wrote:
I have just read that the new GC team will play Melb in China before they play in the AFL in 2011. How bizarre!


While that was the attempted jist of the article, the real story is that the AFL would LIKE to play a game in Shanghai at the World Fair in 2010. The Queensland and Victoria governments are sponsoring Australias visit/pavilion at the World Fair, so the AFL automatically thought well lets get a Victoria and Queensland team to play there. Melbourne have toured China before and already created links so they were an obvious choice, and then its a choice of Gold Coast or Brisbane. Gold Coast would probably get smashed as they wouldn't have their whole team on board yet as it would happen in early October IIRC.


Put them up against each other now and it would probably be a close game.


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PostPosted: Fri May 15, 2009 1:53 am 
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Rob wrote:
beastjim wrote:
nobleoz wrote:
I have just read that the new GC team will play Melb in China before they play in the AFL in 2011. How bizarre!


While that was the attempted jist of the article, the real story is that the AFL would LIKE to play a game in Shanghai at the World Fair in 2010. The Queensland and Victoria governments are sponsoring Australias visit/pavilion at the World Fair, so the AFL automatically thought well lets get a Victoria and Queensland team to play there. Melbourne have toured China before and already created links so they were an obvious choice, and then its a choice of Gold Coast or Brisbane. Gold Coast would probably get smashed as they wouldn't have their whole team on board yet as it would happen in early October IIRC.


Put them up against each other now and it would probably be a close game.


Maybe Freo should trade away Andrew Mcleod for a crack at drafting one of them.

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PostPosted: Fri May 15, 2009 1:54 am 
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yob wrote:
Maybe Freo should trade away Andrew Mcleod for a crack at drafting one of them.


:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

A movie should be made about Freo's drafting stuff ups...

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PostPosted: Fri May 15, 2009 2:06 am 
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Wow I never knew about that little piece of history. So Yobs joke went zoom straight over my head. Freo could yet still do something stupid with Sandilands or Pavlich...... or one of the younger stars they have like Palmer. I personally wouldn't put it past them, but perhaps they grown just a little wiser over the years. Certainly Gold Coast FC coming in will bring a touch of interesting to the trading discussions table, which for me has been pretty boring the last few years with really there being only one story each year. Like who will draft Cousins. Which Club will get Judd, then what will Carltank give up for Judd. But otherwise trades seem to be very much lower key.

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PostPosted: Fri May 15, 2009 10:44 am 
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yob wrote:

Maybe Freo should trade away Andrew Mcleod for a crack at drafting one of them.


Very droll yob.


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PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 1:55 pm 
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Quote:
The “likely” scenario suggests there will be 221,175 attendees to GCFC games in 2016. 55% are likely to reside locally and 45% (99,628 persons) will be visitors to the Gold Coast.

http://goldcoastfc.com.au/the-club/gcfc ... ic-impact/

Found this on the GCFC website. IMO that would be a minimum-reasonable target to aim for (currently I think the Titans are on about 15-18k). 221,175 spread over 11 games would be an average of 20106 per game. Lets say they have 3-4 'blockbusters' per year (Brisbane, Collingwood, Carlton, Essendon) drawing capacity 25k, then arguably they would need 4 low drawing crowds of around 15k to even out the figure of 20k. Would this be enough to sustain a team long term? I know the stadium deal has a lot to do with sustainability, but unlike Geelong who could survive on these crowds the GCFC wont own their stadium...



*EDIT

Quote:
This will occur in an environment where AFL has witnessed a dramatic increase in participation at all levels (club, social as well as elite) since 2000, particularly evident on the Gold Coast, with a participation ratio of 7% of the local population which is considerably higher than the average of 2% for the Queensland population. It says the establishment of a team on the Gold Coast will also lead to further expansion of local sport infrastructure and participation.


Does anyone have figures or know where to find them for state by state (or city by city) for NRL or AFL?

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 4:16 pm 
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Anthony G wrote:
Quote:
This will occur in an environment where AFL has witnessed a dramatic increase in participation at all levels (club, social as well as elite) since 2000, particularly evident on the Gold Coast, with a participation ratio of 7% of the local population which is considerably higher than the average of 2% for the Queensland population. It says the establishment of a team on the Gold Coast will also lead to further expansion of local sport infrastructure and participation.


Does anyone have figures or know where to find them for state by state (or city by city) for NRL or AFL?
The ABS put out stats on sports participation rates annually. They are for people over 15.

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 4:58 pm 
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gyfox wrote:
Anthony G wrote:
Quote:
This will occur in an environment where AFL has witnessed a dramatic increase in participation at all levels (club, social as well as elite) since 2000, particularly evident on the Gold Coast, with a participation ratio of 7% of the local population which is considerably higher than the average of 2% for the Queensland population. It says the establishment of a team on the Gold Coast will also lead to further expansion of local sport infrastructure and participation.


Does anyone have figures or know where to find them for state by state (or city by city) for NRL or AFL?
The ABS put out stats on sports participation rates annually. They are for people over 15.


Is that one of those ABS surveys where if you've seen wayne swann on the news for at least 1 hour in the last 180 days you're an economist?

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 5:17 pm 
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No, you're thinking of the surveys the AFL does that proves that NSW has half as many Aussie Rules players as Victoria.

I think the ABS actually breaks it down into /casual/registered/administrator.

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 5:55 pm 
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Simmo79 wrote:
No, you're thinking of the surveys the AFL does that proves that NSW has half as many Aussie Rules players as Victoria.


Oh, the 'are you the brother of somebody who watched auskick' survey.

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 6:04 pm 
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yob wrote:
Simmo79 wrote:
No, you're thinking of the surveys the AFL does that proves that NSW has half as many Aussie Rules players as Victoria.


Oh, the 'are you the brother of somebody who watched auskick' survey.
The ABS are much stricter than that. To register as a participant you actually have to play the game but not necessarily in a formal team.

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 6:17 pm 
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gyfox wrote:
yob wrote:
Simmo79 wrote:
No, you're thinking of the surveys the AFL does that proves that NSW has half as many Aussie Rules players as Victoria.


Oh, the 'are you the brother of somebody who watched auskick' survey.
The ABS are much stricter than that. To register as a participant you actually have to play the game but not necessarily in a formal team.


you should re-phrase your response to include a dig at the AFL

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 7:11 pm 
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Simmo79 wrote:
gyfox wrote:
yob wrote:
Simmo79 wrote:
No, you're thinking of the surveys the AFL does that proves that NSW has half as many Aussie Rules players as Victoria.


Oh, the 'are you the brother of somebody who watched auskick' survey.
The ABS are much stricter than that. To register as a participant you actually have to play the game but not necessarily in a formal team.


you should re-phrase your response to include a dig at the AFL
I give him a break on Thursday. :)

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 8:09 pm 
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Anthony G wrote:
Quote:
The “likely” scenario suggests there will be 221,175 attendees to GCFC games in 2016. 55% are likely to reside locally and 45% (99,628 persons) will be visitors to the Gold Coast.

http://goldcoastfc.com.au/the-club/gcfc ... ic-impact/

Found this on the GCFC website. IMO that would be a minimum-reasonable target to aim for (currently I think the Titans are on about 15-18k). 221,175 spread over 11 games would be an average of 20106 per game. Lets say they have 3-4 'blockbusters' per year (Brisbane, Collingwood, Carlton, Essendon) drawing capacity 25k, then arguably they would need 4 low drawing crowds of around 15k to even out the figure of 20k. Would this be enough to sustain a team long term? I know the stadium deal has a lot to do with sustainability, but unlike Geelong who could survive on these crowds the GCFC wont own their stadium...


Geelong don't own their stadium, it's owned by the local council, who give them reportedly a very good deal to play there.

From what I can gather, GCFC will be paying an annual rental bill to the QSL. From my own observation, what will possibly make this new stadium highly lucrative is the corporate boxes. The stadium itself really looks pretty ordinary, but the number and location of the corporate boxes looks brilliant. If they can fill the bulk of them every game then they'll make a shitload. Part of the reason some of the basketcase Melbourne clubs bitch about bad stadium returns is that they have such poor corporate support. an article a couple of years ago suggested the Roos were the lowest with $2 million gross, compared to the highest - West Coast with $13 million. The Bulldogs and Melbourne probably don't do much better than North.

It'll also depend on what they can sell their seats for - big reserved seat premiums, especially for the best seats, are critical. An extra $20 on 10,000 seats every game is worth over $2 million a year. No surprise clubs can't make any money when the bulk of their seats are sold as general admission.


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PostPosted: Thu Jul 16, 2009 9:36 pm 
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gyfox wrote:
Anthony G wrote:
Quote:
This will occur in an environment where AFL has witnessed a dramatic increase in participation at all levels (club, social as well as elite) since 2000, particularly evident on the Gold Coast, with a participation ratio of 7% of the local population which is considerably higher than the average of 2% for the Queensland population. It says the establishment of a team on the Gold Coast will also lead to further expansion of local sport infrastructure and participation.


Does anyone have figures or know where to find them for state by state (or city by city) for NRL or AFL?
The ABS put out stats on sports participation rates annually. They are for people over 15.


Looking at the ABS statistics it's interesting that the only states where soccer is the predominant participation for over 15s are NSW and QLD . The individual contact sports in those two states do relatively poorly .

.


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