The current 6 'clubs' aren't credible, nor does anyone (barring the very occasional tragic) have any attachment or loyalty to them. And CA know it.
You know, not quite. Having lived in NSW for a while it amazes me the number of bogans who hate league and wear the nsw blues jumper everywhere they go. I'd say the problem for CA is the brand loyalty is there, just not within a cooee of the SCG.
There are 2 reasons (as I see it) why the current set up is not credible. The first is loyalty. Anyone can crap on about how they 'follow' NSW or whatever state they're from, but the bottom line is that they almost certainly don't show up to games and don't watch on TV -, with the exception of a big bash game, and IMO that's just novelty following anyway. If they stopped the big bash league and replaced it with nothing, no-one would give a sh*t. Who travels interstate to watch a domestic cricket game? Fucken no-one. Because no-one really cares whether their team wins or loses. There is precisely zero supporter loyalty.
The 2nd is that the current location of teams has absolutely nothing to do with population, players, or supporters. Teams are based on political boundaries. That is utterly, utterly ridiculous, and it's no wonder the system loses millions a year. And results in a lot of quality young players winding up playing grade cricket until they're 25.
I'm not going to try and pretend that whatever structure they're proposing is going to be better, because it may well not be. Especially if the early signs are any indication. But our current domestic structure will definitely not create the popular 'product' that CA really need.
I don't necessarily disagree with a lot of what you're saying, but I do stress the point that there is a place where there's rusted on cricket fans who follow their state cricket side as fervently as a foodie supporter follows foodie. This place is country NSW. For this sort of fan base where it's heavy decentralised, the provincial model is the one that works.
Cricket's bigger problem is that it requires a bigger time investment to obtain fans than the foodie codes. You can head to the G after work to follow your foodie team, you literally have to take annual leave to follow a cricket side. T20 was designed to address this structural issue, and the evidence so far is it works quite well in the current state team structure.
This new team model seems at best a quick fix to boost interest, and at worst a move by a code that doesn't quite understand its product and the general sporting market in which they compete.