I think there have been numerous feasibility studies into a tasmanian AFL team, but it never gets beyond that. If you take into consideration the football clubs with the smallest supporter bases, you have sides such as north melbourne, melbourne and port adelaide which each hover from I think (from memory) 160,000 supporters to about 190? Only one of those sides is in good financial shape right now. Now, take into consideration that Tasmania has a population near 500,000, and is considered to have close to the highest football interest of about 25% of the population (these are figures I have come accross in my travels, unfortunately I never file away all these sources
) then that comes up to 25% of 500,000 = 125,000 people who like aussie rules in the state. Now, if you're gonna run a club that isn't a money pit, you'd need 1 in 4 people interested in football to rock up to each and every game. Absolutely pushing it, only way it could be pulled off is if the club were massively subsidized by the tasmanian government.
I must say though, that stadium does really look like a tidy little development, shame it couldn't be built.
Some survey I read said that 50% of the population support football in some form or another - I somehow doubt this figure
In 1996, when this plan was being put forward, Football tasmania did a survey of 730 homes I think, and of those 73% said theyd support a Tasmanian AFL team and of that 73% (about 440 households), 33% (about 150 households) percent said theyd be prepared to become members. Now, Im guessing theres about 150,000 households in the state (thats an estimate that I bet is totally off the mark) which is about 200 times the number of households surveyed - so if 150 out of every 730 households were prepared to become members, thats about 30,000 members - if theres 3 in each household thats 90,000 members. Now due to distance from ground etc. that would have to be more than halved, so we'll say 40,000 members - which might still be a slight exaggeration and if you take into account all my mathematical faults, its probably something like 25-30,000 members. Which is more than enough necessary!
Get a good stadium and a struggling Victorian team and BANG